Rishi Sunak is predicted to be the first British prime minister to lose his own parliamentary seat in an election, according to a Savanta opinion poll published in the Telegraph prior to the July 4 national vote. The poll, which surveyed approximately 18,000 individuals from June 7 to June 18, indicates that Sunak's Conservatives are likely to hold only 53 seats in the 650-member House of Commons, while the Labour Party is forecast to secure 516 seats. Current opinion polls generally show Keir Starmer's Labour leading the governing Conservatives by about 20 percentage points in national vote share. Although the poll predicts Sunak will lose his northern England constituency, previously considered a secure Conservative seat, Savanta notes that the race remains tight, as reported by the Telegraph. Over 100 seats are anticipated to be closely contested, remaining uncertain, according to Savanta.