Republican Donald Trump is ahead among likely voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll released on Monday. The survey shows Trump leading US Vice President Kamala Harris six weeks before the November 5 presidential election. In Arizona, Trump leads 50% to 45%, while in Georgia, he holds a 49% to 45% advantage, and in North Carolina, he is ahead 49% to 47%. These results mirror other recent polls indicating a close race.
The three states are pivotal swing states that could determine the outcome of the 2024 presidential contest between Trump, a convicted felon, and Harris, a former prosecutor who would be the first female US president. Trump, who served as president from 2017 to 2021, is vying for the White House again after his 2020 defeat by Joe Biden, which he continues to falsely attribute to voter fraud. The 78-year-old former president is currently facing federal and state criminal charges related to his efforts to overturn the election results.
Harris, 59, has re-energized the Democratic Party since Biden, 81, withdrew his re-election bid. Her nomination offers an opportunity to build a broader coalition among young adults, women, and even some Republicans. The poll suggests a closely contested race, consistent with other recent national polls, including those conducted by Reuters/Ipsos.
The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points among 713 people polled in Arizona, plus or minus 4.6 points among 682 surveyed in Georgia, and plus or minus 4.2 points among 682 surveyed in North Carolina.
